Pending Home Sales Index, what does it mean to you?

3. March 2009 by Burbank Real Estate.

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

First, what is the pending home sales index? 

The NAR (National Association of Realtors) developed the pending home sales index as an indicator of housing activity. It tends to be a leading indicator of existing home sales, not new home sales. A pending sale is one in which a contract was signed, but not yet closed and it usually takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale.

Until housing data improves, the economy as a whole won’t show significant signs of life.  The numbers that came out today offered little hope. While the pending home sales index jumped up in December, 6.3 percent to 87.7 the pending home sales index fell a very steep 7.7 percent in January.  This data indicates that we’ll probably have weak home sales data for February and March. The year-on-year rate is still contracting at -6.4 percent.

Sales showed continued weakness in the Northeast, South, and Midwest but, did show a gain in the West, a region worth special attention given that the general real estate collapse has been centered here.

Bottom line is that with the labor market still in major turmoil, we probably won’t see a significant rebound until later this year or beginning of next year.  If you are in the market to buy a home, now is a great time with low interest rates and reduced prices!

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